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FOOTBALL FINANCIAL MODEL
The Model

Chart a five-year journey for any club you can imagine.

Choose your defining key inputs and the engine returns a complete, internally consistent financial picture — across 12 countries' full professional football pyramids.

Set the scenario around any club
10 key inputsLeague · Club · Performance
12 countries30 league tiersEuropean CupsPromotion & Relegation
The model generates
Full five-year P&Lby operating activity
Compliance, testedUEFA + domestic rules
Squad & transfers30-man squad · market aggregate
What If? comparisonsside-by-side, live
5-Year Probabilitiesevery path priced & weighted
Management dashboardcharts for the board pack
Anchored to real accountspeer-validated figures
Take it with youExcelPowerPoint
Inputs

A handful of inputs defines the whole journey.

Enter the defining characteristics of the club you want to analyze — from foundational club elements to finishes, promotions, relegations, cups and more, across a five-year journey.

Scenario inputs · Yr 0 → Yr 5
Basic
CountryEngland
Stadium seats35,000
Core setup
League tierTier 1
Wage levelsTop-Half
Squad & transfers
Develop & sellYes
Age skewBalanced
Domestic play
League finish6th
Domestic cupRd 32
European Cup
European CupUEL
European finishRd 16

The flag system keeps every choice honest.

As you set inputs, the model flags what it sees — no silent errors, no fantasy paths.

League finish
Green, yellow and red zones show how likely a chosen finishing place is at your wage level.
Promotion / relegation
A warning if a league tier changes season-to-season without a sensible prior-year finish.
European Cup participation
A warning if a European Cup is selected without a qualifying prior-year finishing place.
P&L

A full statement, for every year, down to every detail.

Every scenario resolves to a complete P&L in all four operating categories — football activities, youth & academy, commercialization and squad formation — with cumulative trackers on operating net and profit/(loss) across the journey.

P&L statement · Yr 1–5
Yr1Yr2Yr3Yr4Yr5
Football Activities
Revenues
Expenses
Football Activities Net(€10,049,951)(€7,128,951)(€3,673,201)€12,152,128€17,645,657
Youth/Academy
Revenues
Expenses
Youth/Academy Net(€11,599,150)(€11,599,150)(€11,599,150)(€11,599,150)(€11,599,150)
Commercialization
Revenues
Expenses
Commercialization Net(€7,505,519)(€7,505,519)(€7,505,519)€8,689,076€5,989,977
Squad Formation
Revenues
Expenses
Squad Formation Net(€28,995,702)(€28,995,702)(€28,995,702)(€28,995,702)(€28,995,702)
Profit/(Loss)(€58,150,322)(€55,229,322)(€51,773,572)(€19,753,648)(€16,959,218)
P&L summaryYr 5
Operations
Broadcast Revenue€191,763,250
Matchday Revenue€27,910,340
Commercial Revenue€39,074,477
Wage Expense(€212,633,300)
Non-Wage Opex(€34,078,283)
Operating Net€12,036,484
Cumulative Operating Net(€56,887,572)
Squad Formation
Squad Formation Net(€28,995,702)
Profit/(Loss)(€16,959,218)
Cumulative Profit/(Loss)(€201,866,082)
Always validated

Edit any input and the statement recalculates — every line stays internally consistent, every year.

Squad cost limits

Every rule that applies, applied automatically.

Test how the club's financial performance would fare against any applicable UEFA or domestic-league squad cost control limit. All Tier 1 clubs are tested against UEFA's rules; the domestic regulation for the country and tier is layered on automatically.

Compliance · Yr 5● All checks passed
UEFA Squad Cost RuleSquad cost ≤ 70% of relevant revenue
● Pass · 68%
Ratio 68%Ceiling 70% · 2-pt headroom
Domestic — England · Tier 1 (SCR)Squad cost ≤ 85% of relevant revenue
● Pass · 68%
Ratio 68%Ceiling 85% · 17-pt headroom
Squad cost ratio by year
70%
Yr1
68%
Yr2
68%
Yr3
67%
Yr4
68%
Yr5
Model integrity

Every line has a defensible origin.

Nothing in the model is a guess. Each revenue and cost line is derived from real published accounts and public data — then made dynamic to project a club whose seasons look like yours.

Matchday & commercial revenue

Dynamically calculated from the full collection of inputs, and validated by published statements of similar clubs in recent years.

Broadcast revenue

Built from the details of the media contracts in place — equal share, finishing position and the other variables that apply in each country and tier.

Parachutes & solidarity

Parachute and solidarity payments are applied automatically across any five-year path, when and where the rules in place stipulate them.

Wage levels

Based on published club financials, credible journalism and public player-wage data — the key driver behind the likelihood of specific outcomes.

Transfer activity

An aggregate of three years of market data across all countries, driven primarily by wage level — the output that varies most club-to-club in practice.

Facilities expensing

Depreciation and rent of stadiums, training and academy facilities are unified — so owned and leased setups read on the same P&L terms for all clubs.

Comparable clubs · Year 1
Domestic
FulhamENG · Tier 1
SourceSeasonSeatsMatchday rev.Commercial rev.
Verified2022–202328,000€17,607,743€25,006,013
Crystal PalaceENG · Tier 1
SourceSeasonSeatsMatchday rev.Commercial rev.
Verified2022–202325,486€14,327,619€27,102,228
SouthamptonENG · Tier 1
SourceSeasonSeatsMatchday rev.Commercial rev.
Verified2022–202332,384€22,264,451€18,066,218
Foreign
VillarrealESP · Tier 1
SourceSeasonSeatsMatchday rev.Commercial rev.
Verified2022–202323,000€19,578,325€24,277,099
RC LensFRA · Tier 1
SourceSeasonSeatsMatchday rev.Commercial rev.
Verified2023–202438,223€22,189,000€21,674,000
Hertha BSCGER · Tier 2
SourceSeasonSeatsMatchday rev.Commercial rev.
Verified2024–202574,245€17,626,000€25,143,000
What If?

Change one input. Read the consequences, side by side.

Hold your scenario fixed and vary a single input — wage commitment, league finish, European Cup participation or stadium capacity. The anchor lines up against two alternatives without touching your saved scenario.

VaryWage levelsLeague finishEuropean CupStadium seatsEngland · Tier 1
Total revenue
Wage bill
Operating net
Squad cost ratio
Status
Anchor
None
€216.2M
(€162.0M)
€27.2M
75% / 70%
Breach
Alternative 1
Europa League
€249.7M
(€162.0M)
€55.0M
66% / 70%
Within limits
Alternative 2
Conference League
€243.6M
(€162.0M)
€48.9M
68% / 70%
Within limits
Squad & Transfers

The players beneath the financials.

A full, sortable view of the 30-man squad by position, age and wage — shaped by your develop-and-sell and age-skew choices. Alongside it, what an aggregate of similar clubs does in the transfer market each year, with purchase and sale totals, quantities and amortization.

Squad · 30-man viewSortable · Per year
#PosAgeWages
1GKVeteran€3M–€6M
3GKYoung€1.5M–€3M
4CBVeteran€6M–€10M
6CBPrime€3M–€6M
9FBPrime€6M–€10M
13FBAcademy€400K–€750K
14MFVeteran€6M–€10M
18MFYoung€1.5M–€3M
22AMPrime>€10M
26AMAcademy€1.5M–€3M
28STPrime€6M–€10M
30STAcademy€750K–€1.5M
Total wages30 players€169.3M
Transfers · similar-club aggregatePer year
Purchases
Total fees€46.0M
# Players6
Amortization€15.3M / yr
Sales
Total fees€28.0M
# Players5
Amortization€7.7M / yr
Net spend(€18.0M)

Your strategy reshapes the roster

A develop-and-sell strategy adds a youth sell-premium and a lift in youth investment; age skew leans the squad younger or older.

Fully agrees to the financials

Wages and amortization flow straight into Squad Formation on the P&L — nothing to reconcile.

Charts

A management dashboard of the whole journey.

Review the key financial metrics as charts and graphs over the five-year journey — every view reads the way you've set the app.

Revenue composition
Stacked columns by source
BroadcastMatchdayCommercial
Squad wages
Wages vs. % of revenue
Wages (€)% of revenue
Profit/(Loss)
€M by year, zero line
Yr1 · 1.6Yr2 · 5.2Yr3 · 6.3Yr4 · 8.0Yr5 · 9.4
Revenue by source
Three streams as trend lines
Transfers
Purchases vs. sales by year
5-Year Probabilities

Every path a club could take, weighted and priced.

Take a probabilistic view of any journey of 1 to 5 years — promotions, relegations and European appearances included. The engine enumerates every realistic path, ranks them by likelihood, and resolves them into one expected P&L value per year.

The possibilities tree · Yr 0 → Yr 5
TODAYYEAR 1YEAR 2YEAR 3YEAR 4YEAR 5
8th2026/274.6%9.1%12.2%14.8%11.6%7.4%3.9%
Cups / PromotionMid-table · No-changeRelegation
243 paths modeled
Most likely outcomesYear 5 · Cumulative
1Y1Y2Y3Y4Y514.8%
Cumulative expected P&L+€21.4M
Non-trading revenues€902.4M
Operating net€267.1M
Profit/(Loss)€144.6M
2Y1Y2Y3Y4Y512.2%
Cumulative expected P&L+€28.9M
Non-trading revenues€1,046.8M
Operating net€379.2M
Profit/(Loss)€236.9M
3Y1Y2Y3Y4Y511.6%
Cumulative expected P&L+€12.6M
Non-trading revenues€838.7M
Operating net€222.6M
Profit/(Loss)€108.6M
Outcome probabilitiesYear 5 · 2030/31
1
Y1Y2Y3Y4Y5
14.8%
+€21.4M
2
Y1Y2Y3Y4Y5
12.2%
+€28.9M
3
Y1Y2Y3Y4Y5
11.6%
+€12.6M
4
Y1Y2Y3Y4Y5
9.1%
+€38.2M
5
Y1Y2Y3Y4Y5
7.4%
−€2.1M
6
Y1Y2Y3Y4Y5
4.6%
+€52.7M
7
Y1Y2Y3Y4Y5
3.9%
−€9.4M
+€19.8M
Probability-weighted expected valueEvery path, weighted by its likelihood, across the full five-year journey.
Year 5
2030/31
Account features

Built to share, save and take with you.

Team members

Add colleagues to one combined account at a discounted rate — each with their own non-admin access, and scenarios and exports shared across the team.

Saved scenarios

Save every five-year journey or probability exploration to your account, with no limits — ready to jump back in like you never left.

Currency toggle

Switch the full display from EUR to GBP to USD with a click — every figure reformats instantly.

Excel exports
Take the model offline — and make it yours.

Export the Main Model P&L outputs to Excel, then modify any line item where your club's details differ — while the full P&L and compliance picture stays calculated.

XScenario_England_T1.xlsx
Broadcast & matchday128.0modelCommercial & other57.5editedOperating net12.9recalc ✓
PowerPoint exports
Presentation-ready, in your house style.

Export a Main Model or 5-Year Probabilities scenario to a finished deck — snapshots of every component you choose, styled with your colors and fonts.

Five-year P&L
Slide 04 · your fonts
Outcome probabilities
Slide 07 · your colors
Start free

Model your first scenario this week.

Run a full five-year simulation — P&L, compliance and outcome probabilities — before you commit a cent. No card, no sales call, just the model.

€999/ year
14 days free · no card
Full model, 2 countries during trial
P&L, compliance & probabilities
Statements Database available as add-on
Start free trial →